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Thread started on: December 17, 2007 - 12:21pm

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BobbyBluechip

BobbyBluechip
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Be wary of team stats when making projections

I looked at a couple matchups this weekend in which WRs were projected to do really well (Chad Johnson vs SF, Galloway vs ATL) and was left scratching my head. I see a lot of mainstream fantasy advice shot from the hip these days and you have to be careful in these situations. Simply because SF and ATL have horrible team stats doesn’t necessarily mean that there aren’t individual studs on each side of the ball. Case in point, SF and ATL feature two of the games best DBs in Nate Clements and DeAngelo Hall.

Clements did a respectable job against Ocho Cinco and Hall simply shut down Galloway. People should take a closer look at these matchups before looking at the projections and thinking they’re good to go.

I like to look at the individual matchups within a game as opposed to the team stats. I think that gives a more realistic view as it pertains to fantasy output. But that’s just my opinion.

Any thoughts on this?

December 17, 2007 - 3:03pm

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Freddie Footballer

Freddie Footballer
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I agree

for the most part. You have to look at the individual matchups, especially when it comes to WR v. DB. I am a big believer in "flow of the game" meaning that the type of game it will be as an indication of scoring opportunities. Anybody playing the Patriots will be behind early and that means the other team will be throwing the ball most of the second half. That equates to the RB of the Patriots' opponent not doing very well statistically. - Freddie Footballer